[Malcolm Armsteen]

This from YouGov:

Now, if that is correct and if it holds until Johnson bottles it, there would be the possibility of a Lib-Lab coalition, with possible support of the SNP.

Thoughts?

[youngian]

The reality of four-way marginals makes seat predictions based on percentages more difficult. If this election happens after EU exit Johnson will do what it takes to woo the LDs and/or SNP (indyref2). All Corbyn will have to do to secure a Labour government is step down. So Tory government it is. I notice in nearly every poll that the Con/BXP vote is static. 44% of the electorate (and self-confessed super-patriots) are happy to bring about a national catastrophe.

[Boiler]

The reality of four-way marginals makes seat predictions based on percentages more difficult. If this election happens after EU exit Johnson will do what it takes to woo the LDs and/or SNP (indyref2). All Corbyn will have to do to secure a Labour government is step down.

Just seen on the BBC ticker that Labour peers are considering holding a VoNC in Corbyn.

[Tubby Isaacs]

Brexit winning where? Clacton and Boston/Skegness?

[bluebellnutter]

Would LOVE it if BXP won two seats and neither were Nigel...

[Arrowhead]

Brexit winning where? Clacton and Boston/Skegness?

Thurrock perhaps? The likes of Hartlepool and the Stoke seats would also, theoretically, be prime targets for Farage.

[visage]

Moscow Central?

[Tubby Isaacs]

I've put those numbers into Electoral Calculus. They reckon Brexit get 68.

Loads of Brexit seats predicted in South Wales, including my own. I think I'd have to vote Labour if that were a serious prospect.

[Boiler]

My own seat gets a Brexit MP too. I'd vote Tory to keep those shits out.

[Timbo]

A formal deal with the SNP would probably involve giving Sturgeon the right to call an independence referendum unilaterally at a time of her choosing. A Lib/Lab minority govt. would be the only way to call the SNP's bluff, invite them publicly to support every vote in the name of decency, or show themselves up to their voters by refusing to.

The Liberals are going to be very twitchy about a formal coalition anyway, so I suspect a precarious rainbow coalition could potentially be engineered, the biggest potential obstacle to that, ironically, is probably the Corbyn clique.

[Tubby Isaacs]

This isn't good for the Tories.

As I've said before, look at that recovery before the 2015 election. Good timing for Cameron and Co.

[visage]

The Tory proposition is akin to the lottery. They don't sell it based on everyone losing a few quid, the focus is on the winners.

Labour say 'You'll all probably be a little bit better off'

[Tubby Isaacs]

This'll bring em back to the fold. Trade deal with Trump. Behold as he smites those "opponents of free trade".

[Tubby Isaacs]

Interesting numbers here on possible house price falls in a No Deal situation. As he says, this might not be the best way of fending off challenges from the Lib Dems.

[Daley Mayle]

A twitter thread worth reading