youngian wrote:Might have also occurred to Cameron and others that First past the post no longer benefits the Tories.
And that surrendering boundary changes to block Clegg's Lords reform was also a stupid idea. I can only conclude that the Tory backbenchers are largely fucking thick. No great surprise I know, but throwing the toys out of the pram over electoral reform looks as if it's going to have negative long-term implications for them.
I see Ashcroft's done another one of his big polls.
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Looking first at the demographics of who is supporting UKIP, amongst the 1000 people who said they would vote UKIP at the moment in Ashcroft’s poll, 45% say they voted Tory in 2010, 27% UKIP, 15% Lib Dem, 6% Did not vote, 4% Labour and 4% other parties. The demographic breaks show UKIP supporters continue to be heavily skewed towards elderly men – 43% of their support is from over 65s, just 8% from under 35s. 66% is from men, 34% from women.
Interesting that so few UKIP voters have migrated from Labour - gives the lie to the old 'they're taking votes from all the main parties' schtick. It does look as if some of the populist anti-establishment vote that the Lib Dems used to pick up has gone to UKIP, though.
Change does not roll in on the wheels of inevitability, but comes through continuous struggle.