- Sun Apr 19, 2020 9:17 pm
Biden is like a different version of Trump, a bit of a Clintonesque type leader with age. I was always told don’t run a dour candidate against a rabble rouser. Trump was always going beat Clinton as they kept going after her weakness. Challenging the democrats on position rather than personality won’t work.
Trump is ramping this up to the nth degree because he knows he is in troubling waters, he needs the economy to win election and he is willing to risk thousands of lives on that. Trump will in my view lose unless by some miraculous deliverance the disease doesn’t spread like it has everywhere else.
Irony in all this is, like Bolosarno like Johnson, he probably will be a one term leader, Macron meanwhile will win re-election. Preaching to the converted works both on the left and the right. You have to keep on carrying them.
Two things I thought would hurt the democrats, the impeachment would remain news, and secondary Sanders would take it all the way to the DNC. Both things are now gone.
Only way Trump wins is that the economy isn’t totally tanked and somehow it doesn’t spread, science would suggest the latter is unlikely and the fact billions just disappeared after 2 days of a surplus suggest he has gone.
Biden would be best to put himself forward as a new FDR. I feared Trump might win and didn’t expect it, though it was in the worst case scenario of polling which treated me to a good couple of drinks down the pub.
No point looking at polling ratings now mind, look when the dust has settled. Trump didn’t win preaching to the converted, much like Corbyn didn’t. Clinton fucked up, doing that manniquin challenge two days before Election Day, complete lack of campaigning in parts in the week before, I cannot see Biden making those mistakes.