spoonman wrote: ↑
Sat Mar 16, 2019 4:17 pm
Dan wrote: ↑
Sat Mar 16, 2019 2:34 pm
Just a thought:
Could the EU state that they will grant an extension if, and only if, there is a referendum in that time period?
I don't know of any legal basis why they couldn't if there is agreement among the EU27 as such an extension would be for theirs to grant as the UK can't unilaterally enact such an extension. It's why Banks & Farage are trying to convince right-wing to far-right national governments in the EU to not agree to one, in turn undermining HM Government and arguably committing conspiracy to treason in the process.
Having said that, can you imagine the likes of the S*n and hardline Brexiteers reacting having a new referendum on the matter being effectively imposed by "Brussels"?
True. I would imagine that this would be their main argument in a Leave campaign. "Tell Brussels directly" and all that drivel. It could also be problematic thanks to the fact it's just been rejected in Parliament and Remain campaigners will have to watch for this.
I think this may happen. They simply won't grant an extention if the only result is going to be infinite squabbling between the various factions in Parliament, all screaming loudly about what they don't want without anyone being any the wiser on what they do want.
There has to be an endgame and it is not Corbyn's fantasy land Brexit.
I wonder whether Bercow will even allow a third vote on her deal, he's well within his rights not to and he does not fear upsetting the Government. Should he not and with assurances of an extention, May's only other shot at getting it through would be making it subject to a confirmation referendum (Kyle-Wilson amendment) with Remain and her deal as the options which is different enough to get another vote on it. She may figure that even if the ERG abstain, more than enough of Labour would vote with her on this to push is through and she might want to chance it on a 50/50 referendum, knowing that Brexiters will have to go for her deal then or stay in the EU. There would be no "No Deal" shenanigans to have us crash out.
Regarding Farage, I don't think his cap in hand begging will work and if it did, I can see it backfiring on him hugely and Britain simply revoking Article 50. Parliament cannot let one man plunge the country into dangerous economic uncertainty (to put it mildly) and ride roughshod over the expressed will of Parliament.