- Mon May 27, 2019 1:17 pm
First count finished for the NI region.
Quota is 143,112
Sinn Fein 126,951
NI Greens 12,471
Morrice (Ind) 1719
McCann (Ind) 948
No one elected on the first count - the five candidates with the fewest votes (Conservatives, two independents, UKIP & NI Greens) are eliminated and their votes will be transferred to the next eligible preference.
* A little surprising that neither Sinn Fein or the DUP are even close to the quota on the first count, in the past they've either been shoe-ins or been very close to it that it was a formality.
* Alliance will be absolutely fucking delighted in getting over 100,000 first preferences. Naomi Long will be odds on now to win a seat.
* Colum Eastwood of the SDLP has done reasonably well, but Naomi Long has a big enough gap ahead of him and it's difficult to see where Eastwood could get transfers from to bridge the gap other than Sinn Fein surpluses which won't be enough.
* Jim Allistar (TUV)? Uuurrgh! Being a reactionary bigoted bollocks still plays well to around 11-12% of voters who gave him their first preference. Won't cross the finishing line thankfully.
* The UUP have effectively lost their EU seat after holding it since the 80's. Will likely be next to be eliminated and it will be interesting to see where the transfers go.
* NI Greens, while enjoying some success in the local elections a few weeks ago, still have plenty of work to do with only a very modest increase in their vote share compared to 2014. The EU wide Green surge hasn't really happened here.
* Back in 2014 UKIP took over 24,000 first preference votes. This time it's barely over a fifth of that. Good, now fuck off.
"F*ck business!" - Boris Johnson, on Brexit (2018)
"£250,000 ...it's chicken feed." - Boris Johnson (2009) & Jacob Rees-Mogg (2014)